Ideología de Venezuela en el MERCOSUR desde el QCA, 2006 – 2023

Abstract

The horizontal ideology is a factor that has been attempted to isolate from the integration mechanisms of the region, but in one way or another it is present, mainly, because in Latin America the engine of unification still depends proportionally on the executive power of the nations. . The objective of this article is to demonstrate quantitatively how the political ideology of the government of the Fifth Republic influenced the accession, permanence or denunciation of Venezuela in MERCOSUR in order to verify if it was the political ideology of the social order of the international system of Venezuela in the times of the Fifth Republic, the cause of the integrationist instability of the country within the mechanism between 2006 – 2021. To do this, Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) was used, of the Crisp Sets type, using irv= f(ci, fd, acem, aceu), where the dependent variable is the regional integration of Venezuela (irv) and the independent variable is the political ideology with four ideological fronts (ideological convergence (ci); diplomatic frictions (fd); extra-community trade agreement multipolar (acem); unipolar extra-community trade agreement (aceu). With the QCA it was possible to verify which of these ideological fronts was the cause of changes in the dependent variable (irv). The result obtained was that the presence of fd has been the cause of the absence of irv, this with a consistency equal to 1 and a coverage of 0.20 (low). Therefore, guaranteeing that the ~fd is a sufficient condition for irv to occur within MERCOSUR under the government of the Fifth Republic is not possible.